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Thursday, February 21, 2013

2012 Presidential Debates


The first of the 2012 Presidential Debates will be held in Denver Colorado on the third of October which is a Wednesday. The time scheduled is for 9:00-10:30 PM EST and the venue is slated to be the University of Denver. The main focus is to be on domestic policy but i am sure there will still be a few mentions of the still ongoing wars. It has been announced that all major television stations will be televising the debates. I have compiled a list that i found elsewhere online. 
  • C-SPAN
  • ABC
  • CBS
  • FOX
  • NBC
  • CNN
  • Fox News
  • MSNBC
There may be some others that have not been so far mentioned by name or are more local in nature, but these are the most identifiable of the main news stations. Jim Lehrer is the first moderator up to ask questions that are almost certainly scripted and read well in advance by each candidate. Each of the candidates will have two minutes to answer the questions asked by the moderator. The economy will probably be the main focus this time around with the unemployment rate still at elevated levels this will consume a great part of the focus. Each candidate will assuredly put forth a vague plan to both conquer the high unemployment rate while still being able to cut the deficit. Quite a parlor trick that will be. I anticipate that Romney, the republican nominee, will speak a great deal on cutting taxes to stimulate growth in the economy while still being able to cut the ever growing budget deficit. The democrat nominee, and current president, Barack Obama, will speak about tax rate increases and increased government government spending in order to stimulate growth. There is an off chance that a debate or question on the federal reserves recent decision to buy more mortgage backed securities might come up. Anticipate Obama being in full support of the plan, while Romney being timidly in opposition of the plan while sneaking in a comment about needing a change at the banks head.

There will be some other individuals who have thrown their name in the ring for president who will be excluded form the events. Only a couple would actually be in enough states to be able to will. Green party candidate Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, former Governor on New Mexico. Who has actually sued to be included citing the Sherman act. His case is based on the fact that the Commission on Presidential Debates is a monopoly or Duopoly seeking to restrain trade, according the provisions of the act. It was set up by both the Democrats and Republicans after Ross Perot's presidential bid. It's goal is to reduce competition in the realm of presidential elections by making up arbitrary rules that make it almost impossible for other parties to have a viable chance of getting elected. Other than their intentions  these are verifiable facts about the commission. Don't hold your breath that he will actually win this in court as the entire system seems to be in protection mode for the status quo.

The rest of the 2012 Presidential Debate Schedule looks like this:

October 12th we will see the Vice Presidential candidates face off in Danville, KY at Centre College. Martha Raddatz from ABC will be the moderator. The event will also be at 9:00-10:30 PM EST, as will all the events actually. Both domestic and foreign policy will be on the slate as this will be the only time that Joe Biden and Paul Ryan will get during this season to explain how they will support the presidential ticket. If anyone has heard Joe Biden speak on foreign policy, which I have on a number of occasions, he will undoubtedly wipe the floor with Paul Ryan who is much less informed on these issues. Paul Ryan will try to score some points by speaking about some plans he drafted for debt reduction and how to preserve entitlement plans, while reducing the costs.

October 16, 2012 will be the next date we see the presidential hopefuls again, this time at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York. This will probably be a bit more interesting than the first as the town hall meeting formats tend to be a bit more open a dialogue. This time as apposed to the first debate, both foreign and domestic policy will be on the table. CNN correspondent, Candy Crowley will moderate this one in which citizens will get to ask the candidates questions, with 2 minute respondents. Now according to what I have read, the people in the crowd will be self identified voters, according to Gallup. Which will mean that it will be filled with liars gaming the system in order to get in. My second guess would be plants sent by each campaign to ask softball questions to make their guy look good.

October 22, 2012 will be the last debate and will be a very familiar format, as it will be a copy of the first debate only this time the topic is foreign policy. The venue for the last debate and last major opportunity for each of the presidential hopefuls to speak to their strengths on a national stage, will be in Boca Raton Florida on the campus of Lynn University. CBS main stay Bob Schieffer from Face the Nation will be the moderator. I would expect both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama to speak of the glories of war and the might of the empire. Iran will be mentioned more than any other country by a factor of 2. With Romney attacking Obama for not having blown them up already. China and their supposed currency manipulation will be a close second I am guessing. Obama will say that he has done a lot to pressure them to move on the currency front and Romney complaining he hasn't done enough. This night will be filled with only slight differences between the two, with Romney always saying he would do more than the President has already done, in essence. 


Democratic National Convention

Democratic National Convention 2012

This years Democratic National Convention was help in Charlotte North Carolina on September 4-6. There were almost 100 speakers for the event. Jimmy Carter did not attend but instead spoke via video. Michelle Obama kicked off the event and President Obama ended the ceremonies by accepting the nomination along with Joe Biden. Some other notable speakers were:


  • Rhode Island Governor Lincoln Chafee
  • Former Republican Governor of Florida Charlie Crist
  • Congressman Barney Frank of Massachusetts
  • Congressman Steny Hoyer of Maryland
  • U.S. Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts
  • Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick
  • AFL-CIO President Rich Trumka
The theme of the event was "Forward", a message that seems to say America is moving into a new paradigm in the Obama administration. Bill Clintons speach was talked about a lot it seemed on the air waves, he seemed to still be able to inspire and motivate the Democratic base.


 The Democrat National Convention was more or less just to energize the base of the party and unite them around the president. This is normal as neither party has nominated someone when the sitting president is of the party. During the convention Ted Kennedy was honored with a tribute to the deceased former senator.




What is a Democrat?



A Democrat would be first and foremost one who is a member of the Democratic Party. They would support the Democrat National Committee platform. During the Democratic National Convention 2012, the party adopted a platform that will serve as the message that they want the American people to elect them to enact. Four basic topics served as the building blocks for the platform, then adding some depth to each rounds out the platform. Below is the basic outline of what the 2012 Democratic Platform contains.

REBUILDING MIDDLE CLASS SECURITY

  • Putting Americans Back to Work
  • The Middle Class Bargain
  • Cutting Waste, Reducing the Deficit, Asking All to Pay Their Fair Share
  • Economy Built to Last

AMERICA WORKS WHEN EVERYONE PLAYS BY THE SAME RULES

  • Wall Street Reform
  • 21st Century Government: Transparent and Accountable
  • Lobbying Reform and Campaign Finance Reform


GREATER TOGETHER
  • Strengthening the American Community
  • Protecting Rights and Freedoms
  • Ensuring Safety and Quality of Life

STRONGER IN THE WORLD, SAFER AND MORE SECURE AT HOME

  • Responsibly Ending the War in Iraq
  • Disrupting, Dismantling, and Defeating Al-Qaeda
  • Responsibly Ending the War in Afghanistan
  • Preventing the Spread and Use of Nuclear Weapons
  • Countering Emerging Threats
  • Strengthening Alliances, Expanding Partnerships, and Reinvigorating International Institutions
  • Promoting Global Prosperity and Development
  • Maintaining the Strongest Military in the World
  • Advancing Universal Values
As a more general statement, Democrats believe in a more socialized form of government where resources are shared. They support a more progressive tax policy where the higher earners pay more than lower earners. In theory the taxes would be distributed to the lower wage earners. Some other topics that are generally supported by Democrats are; abortion rights for women, increased regulation of the economy, socialized medicine.


Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Why Democrat VS Republican?

Democrat VS Repubublican


This site is about the differences between the two parties. It may be especially useful during this election and since they seem to be campaigning almost all the time, so it can serve as a reference of what the democrat party is all about. Each party has their own nuances that make them different but in theory are supposed to be acting as agents of the people. The topics and information here will be focused on Democrats while on another blog republican vs democrat will be focused on Republicans. On both sites the information will tend to be impartial as possible with holding judgement but ultimately at the end, I will give a synopsis of why I think they both stink. Do not serve the best interests of the American people and both seek to serve themselves, their party, and the power brokers that really put them in power.

Currently the Democratic President, Barack Obama is up 6 percentage points according the latest CNN poll coming out of the democratic national convention. Will it hold up is the question. If this were an election that focused, as was the second term of Bill Clinton, on "Are you better off now than 4 years ago" than the answer would probably be know. As much as Bill Clinton is still a driver of democratic politics and still gets the base to come out, I believe Obama is in many ways a more galvanizing personality to core democratic values. Sure people remember Bill fondly today, but many at the time I remember many at the time really didn't like that he made it difficult to defend him among friends. I would also say that since the economy was much better even when he walked into office during a recession compared to the great recession we have now. At no time did it ever reach 8%, there was a high in 1992 at 7.5% which quickly went down to 5.6% by 1995. It has been solidly above 8% during Barack Obama's since he took office. Which to me says a couple of things. One that Democrats are more engaged during down times. Two that Obama must have a more dedicated following. I would say that about most people but probably more so Democrats, since tend to push the idea of social justice more so than Republicans.
At this time some of the biggest issues on the table seem to be the national debt, expiring tax cuts, and job growth. Many other issues usually discussed during election season are taking a back seat to these issues. Foreign policy and education are two that are usually at the fore front but in this environment seem to take a back seat.